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Red450
20193.8
5509108.3
440599.2
Blue470
4003112.4
3538120.5
5675107.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3463990100200300500600700800450470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.30.9
109.0109.9
Auto11.4
Teleop56.2
End40.7
blue by 12.3
120.50.0
121.6121.6
Auto13.9
Teleop53.8
End52.9
Second
99.20.9
100.0100.9
Auto10.6
Teleop42.0
End46.6
blue by 13.2
4003
#15
112.40.0
113.4113.5
Auto14.5
Teleop47.7
End50.3
Third
201
#39
93.80.9
94.595.5
Auto8.1
Teleop40.6
End45.1
blue by 13.2
5675
#19
107.00.0
108.0108.1
Auto9.8
Teleop47.0
End50.2