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Red275
439293.2
656987.6
477992.4
Blue233
546298.6
1940101.9
400485.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493060100200400275233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#16
93.20.7
77.978.6
Auto10.2
Teleop47.5
End35.6
blue by 8.6
1940
#20
101.93.4
90.887.4
Auto8.2
Teleop46.3
End47.4
Second
4779
#12
92.40.7
83.584.2
Auto10.9
Teleop46.7
End34.8
blue by 6.2
5462
#13
98.63.4
90.186.8
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End46.3
Third
6569
#29
87.60.7
82.783.4
Auto13.1
Teleop40.2
End34.3
red by 2.6
4004
#40
85.13.4
102.499.1
Auto9.6
Teleop39.7
End35.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed