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Red251
508684.3
4003112.4
81888.7
Blue305
477992.4
548105.6
214594.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290285150200250350400251305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#15
112.41.6
109.9108.3
Auto14.5
Teleop47.7
End50.3
red by 6.8
548
#27
105.62.2
98.9101.2
Auto12.3
Teleop47.1
End46.2
Second
818
#35
88.71.6
79.077.4
Auto8.5
Teleop38.1
End42.1
blue by 5.8
2145
#33
94.52.2
90.392.6
Auto7.9
Teleop41.1
End45.5
Third
5086
#22
84.31.6
86.484.8
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End36.1
blue by 8.1
4779
#12
92.42.2
82.584.7
Auto10.9
Teleop46.7
End34.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed