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Red349
90487.1
609898.5
2337125.5
Blue331
548105.6
368892.1
517385.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318291100150200250350400450349331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.53.4
124.0127.3
Auto27.3
Teleop47.3
End50.9
red by 19.9
548
#27
105.61.7
101.2102.9
Auto12.3
Teleop47.1
End46.2
Second
6098
#25
98.53.4
94.297.6
Auto11.2
Teleop40.2
End47.1
red by 6.4
3688
#38
92.11.7
94.996.6
Auto11.0
Teleop39.5
End41.7
Third
904
#21
87.13.4
80.483.8
Auto13.3
Teleop36.2
End37.6
red by 1.5
5173
#24
85.51.7
84.085.8
Auto8.3
Teleop38.0
End39.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
13%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed