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Red283
400485.1
550596.4
57386.7
Blue285
81888.7
546298.6
477992.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291271150200250350400450283285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#11
96.44.4
91.486.9
Auto10.0
Teleop48.6
End37.8
blue by 2.2
5462
#13
98.61.7
89.491.1
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End46.3
Second
573
#28
86.74.4
88.484.0
Auto10.3
Teleop40.1
End36.3
blue by 5.7
4779
#12
92.41.7
89.390.9
Auto10.9
Teleop46.7
End34.8
Third
4004
#40
85.14.4
94.590.1
Auto9.6
Teleop39.7
End35.8
blue by 3.7
818
#35
88.71.7
81.282.9
Auto8.5
Teleop38.1
End42.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed