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Red250
1918107.4
608679.7
6899.8
Blue294
4003112.4
546298.6
894105.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30931902004006008001,0001,200250294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.43.0
105.1102.2
Auto8.6
Teleop52.5
End46.2
blue by 5.0
4003
#15
112.40.5
108.0107.5
Auto14.5
Teleop47.7
End50.3
Second
68
#17
99.83.0
118.1115.1
Auto12.9
Teleop55.2
End31.7
blue by 5.7
894
#10
105.60.5
102.8102.3
Auto15.0
Teleop46.6
End44.0
Third
6086
#37
79.73.0
71.568.5
Auto8.5
Teleop42.1
End29.1
blue by 18.9
5462
#13
98.60.5
90.690.1
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End46.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed