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Red344
516691.6
3538120.5
400485.1
Blue305
2832116.0
90487.1
655889.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3182900100200400500344305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120.50.7
120.9121.7
Auto13.9
Teleop53.8
End52.9
red by 4.5
116.01.7
109.9111.6
Auto10.3
Teleop47.6
End58.2
Second
5166
#26
91.60.7
91.992.6
Auto9.3
Teleop35.6
End46.7
red by 2.6
6558
#34
89.01.7
85.887.5
Auto6.4
Teleop46.1
End36.4
Third
4004
#40
85.10.7
85.486.1
Auto9.6
Teleop39.7
End35.8
blue by 2.0
904
#21
87.11.7
83.485.2
Auto13.3
Teleop36.2
End37.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed