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Red354
57386.7
3538120.5
4003112.4
Blue255
368892.1
170196.6
5509108.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333320200250300350400450354255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120.52.3
121.7123.9
Auto13.9
Teleop53.8
End52.9
red by 12.3
108.33.4
112.8109.4
Auto11.4
Teleop56.2
End40.7
Second
4003
#15
112.42.3
112.5114.7
Auto14.5
Teleop47.7
End50.3
red by 15.8
1701
#32
96.63.4
99.295.8
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End51.3
Third
573
#28
86.72.3
80.783.0
Auto10.3
Teleop40.1
End36.3
blue by 5.4
3688
#38
92.13.4
94.090.6
Auto11.0
Teleop39.5
End41.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor oddsEarned14%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed