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Red295
509091.2
575673.8
1940101.9
Blue307
57386.7
90487.1
81888.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275263100150200300350400450295307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1940
#20
101.92.3
99.5101.9
Auto8.2
Teleop46.3
End47.4
red by 13.1
818
#35
88.73.7
85.088.7
Auto8.5
Teleop38.1
End42.1
Second
5090
#31
91.22.3
88.991.2
Auto7.8
Teleop44.6
End38.9
red by 4.2
904
#21
87.13.7
83.387.1
Auto13.3
Teleop36.2
End37.6
Third
5756
#36
73.82.3
71.573.8
Auto8.0
Teleop44.6
End21.2
blue by 12.9
573
#28
86.73.7
83.086.7
Auto10.3
Teleop40.1
End36.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsEarned2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed