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Red260
517385.5
3770112.0
1918107.4
Blue300
440599.2
5509108.3
20193.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355354260280300320340380400420260300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.01.1
113.1112.0
Auto14.1
Teleop56.9
End41.1
red by 3.8
108.30.2
110.8110.6
Auto11.4
Teleop56.2
End40.7
Second
107.41.1
108.5107.4
Auto8.6
Teleop52.5
End46.2
red by 8.2
99.20.2
101.7101.5
Auto10.6
Teleop42.0
End46.6
Third
5173
#24
85.51.1
86.685.5
Auto8.3
Teleop38.0
End39.2
blue by 8.3
201
#39
93.80.2
96.396.1
Auto8.1
Teleop40.6
End45.1