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Red365
590788.5
314100.4
27119.5
Blue469
503109.2
2137104.3
4970114.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3334000100200500600700365469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#6
119.50.7
121.0121.7
Auto15.8
Teleop55.7
End47.9
red by 5.1
4970
#17
114.30.7
117.0117.7
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End51.7
Second
314
#1
100.40.7
102.0102.7
Auto20.1
Teleop52.0
End28.3
blue by 8.8
503
#18
109.20.7
111.9112.7
Auto13.6
Teleop51.7
End43.9
Third
5907
#21
88.50.7
90.190.8
Auto11.2
Teleop40.2
End37.1
blue by 15.7
2137
#11
104.30.7
106.9107.7
Auto17.1
Teleop49.9
End37.2