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Red445
496198.4
3546114.3
3620109.9
Blue452
141105.3
6344104.2
1189102.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397387300350450500445452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.30.5
114.3114.8
Auto13.8
Teleop56.0
End44.5
red by 9.1
141
#13
105.31.0
104.3105.3
Auto12.7
Teleop45.9
End46.7
Second
3620
#12
109.90.5
109.9110.4
Auto15.2
Teleop55.3
End39.4
red by 5.7
104.21.0
103.2104.1
Auto10.8
Teleop46.8
End46.5
Third
4961
#36
98.40.5
98.498.9
Auto14.6
Teleop50.3
End33.5
blue by 4.1
1189
#20
102.51.0
101.5102.5
Auto13.0
Teleop48.5
End41.0