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Red313
6686.4
3539115.6
520488.5
Blue228
1189102.5
360464.5
514487.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296269100200400500313228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.62.4
99.0101.4
Auto14.9
Teleop51.6
End49.1
red by 13.1
1189
#20
102.52.1
100.998.8
Auto13.0
Teleop48.5
End41.0
Second
5204
#30
88.52.4
83.886.1
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End36.7
red by 1.4
5144
#27
87.12.1
87.385.3
Auto8.8
Teleop41.0
End37.3
Third
66
#22
86.42.4
94.797.1
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End25.9
red by 21.9
3604
#40
64.52.1
71.169.0
Auto6.9
Teleop38.8
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed