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Red286
3539115.6
496198.4
2771101.4
Blue295
3546114.3
376779.6
562374.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092590100200400500600700286295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.61.7
103.2101.4
Auto14.9
Teleop51.6
End49.1
red by 1.3
114.32.8
111.1113.9
Auto13.8
Teleop56.0
End44.5
Second
2771
#39
101.41.7
99.597.8
Auto15.5
Teleop45.8
End40.1
red by 21.8
3767
#35
79.62.8
83.286.0
Auto10.0
Teleop41.9
End27.7
Third
4961
#36
98.41.7
84.482.6
Auto14.6
Teleop50.3
End33.5
red by 24.1
5623
#31
74.32.8
58.761.5
Auto6.7
Teleop46.3
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed