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Red333
124386.7
27119.5
1189102.5
Blue207
364187.8
360464.5
2137104.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162660100200400500600333207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#6
119.52.6
111.2113.8
Auto15.8
Teleop55.7
End47.9
red by 15.2
2137
#11
104.33.5
113.4109.9
Auto17.1
Teleop49.9
End37.2
Second
1189
#20
102.52.6
97.4100.0
Auto13.0
Teleop48.5
End41.0
red by 14.7
3641
#25
87.83.5
77.974.4
Auto10.0
Teleop43.2
End34.6
Third
1243
#37
86.72.6
85.588.1
Auto11.7
Teleop38.0
End37.1
red by 22.3
3604
#40
64.53.5
67.864.3
Auto6.9
Teleop38.8
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed