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Red317
364187.8
3546114.3
3357110.9
Blue280
124386.7
5460105.9
553092.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319293150200250350400450500550317280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.30.8
111.6112.5
Auto13.8
Teleop56.0
End44.5
red by 8.4
5460
#15
105.91.8
96.594.7
Auto14.9
Teleop50.7
End40.3
Second
3357
#23
110.90.8
104.0104.9
Auto19.7
Teleop48.2
End43.0
red by 18.9
5530
#34
92.11.8
102.5100.7
Auto10.1
Teleop42.3
End39.6
Third
3641
#25
87.80.8
84.084.8
Auto10.0
Teleop43.2
End34.6
red by 1.0
1243
#37
86.71.8
82.981.1
Auto11.7
Teleop38.0
End37.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed