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Red255
1481102.3
3546114.3
360464.5
Blue266
314100.4
5603101.2
602081.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303304250350255266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.32.2
116.7114.5
Auto13.8
Teleop56.0
End44.5
red by 13.1
5603
#32
101.21.5
102.7101.2
Auto11.3
Teleop46.0
End43.9
Second
1481
#28
102.32.2
104.7102.5
Auto14.5
Teleop48.5
End39.3
red by 1.9
314
#1
100.41.5
102.9101.4
Auto20.1
Teleop52.0
End28.3
Third
3604
#40
64.52.2
66.764.5
Auto6.9
Teleop38.8
End18.8
blue by 17.2
6020
#24
81.61.5
83.181.6
Auto10.4
Teleop41.2
End30.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
23%Rotor oddsMissed20%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed