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Semifinal 1-12017 Michigan State Championship
Red260
2619105.9
4391115.8
8599.0
Blue470
2767115.9
6075104.1
5114102.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361359300350400450260470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
Unranked
115.81.4
116.6→115.2
Auto15.5
Teleop53.4
End46.9
blue by 0.1
2767
Unranked
115.90.4
117.4→117.8
Auto17.8
Teleop53.0
End45.0
Second
2619
Unranked
105.91.4
106.7→105.3
Auto15.3
Teleop47.8
End42.8
red by 1.8
6075
Unranked
104.10.4
105.6→106.0
Auto14.1
Teleop49.2
End40.8
Third
85
Unranked
99.01.4
99.9→98.5
Auto11.3
Teleop46.0
End41.7
blue by 3.2
5114
Unranked
102.20.4
103.7→104.1
Auto10.0
Teleop48.0
End44.2