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Semifinal 2-12017 Michigan State Championship
Red500
469117.6
33139.2
283495.9
Blue357
107107.5
2337124.2
556188.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4233400100200300500600500357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
139.20.5
139.4→139.9
Auto20.4
Teleop62.6
End56.2
red by 15.0
2337
Unranked
124.20.1
125.5→125.5
Auto27.8
Teleop46.5
End49.9
Second
469
Unranked
117.60.5
117.8→118.3
Auto14.3
Teleop48.3
End55.0
red by 10.1
107
Unranked
107.50.1
108.8→108.7
Auto15.1
Teleop44.2
End48.2
Third
2834
Unranked
95.90.5
96.1→96.5
Auto11.7
Teleop47.5
End36.7
red by 7.2
5561
Unranked
88.70.1
90.0→90.0
Auto9.3
Teleop34.0
End45.4