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Red257
90455.7
132288.1
894102.8
Blue97
587853.1
598935.0
570633.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264108020030040050025797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#4
102.80.6
97.297.8
Auto12.4
Teleop44.5
End45.9
red by 49.7
5878
#26
53.10.7
53.853.1
Auto7.0
Teleop42.3
End3.8
Second
88.10.6
82.483.0
Auto8.9
Teleop36.6
End42.6
red by 53.1
5989
#14
35.00.6
35.635.0
Auto5.8
Teleop29.3
End-0.1
Third
904
#29
55.70.7
49.450.1
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End28.0
red by 22.4
5706
#35
33.20.7
33.933.2
Auto1.4
Teleop25.1
End6.7