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Red212
607582.5
663773.8
376779.3
Blue95
587853.1
483537.1
471529.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561485010020021295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.57.5
55.663.1
Auto11.2
Teleop31.2
End40.1
red by 29.3
5878
#26
53.15.5
58.352.8
Auto7.0
Teleop42.3
End3.8
Second
3767
#20
79.37.5
53.360.8
Auto7.1
Teleop35.7
End36.6
red by 42.2
4835
#33
37.15.5
41.736.2
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End11.9
Third
6637
#15
73.87.5
35.643.1
Auto8.3
Teleop29.0
End36.5
red by 44.5
4715
#30
29.25.5
44.639.1
Auto4.7
Teleop26.1
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed