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Red140
90455.7
483537.1
376779.3
Blue155
85751.1
498838.6
24595.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461980100300400140155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#20
79.30.6
72.571.8
Auto7.1
Teleop35.7
End36.6
blue by 16.0
245
#2
95.32.0
90.188.1
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End44.2
Second
904
#29
55.70.6
41.440.7
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End28.0
red by 4.5
857
#10
51.13.4
52.949.5
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End6.0
Third
4835
#33
37.10.6
32.031.4
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End11.9
blue by 1.5
4988
#37
38.63.4
37.634.2
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed