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Red100
437549.2
608846.9
611223.4
Blue140
587853.1
607923.2
132288.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96170050150200250300350100140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#22
49.20.7
41.040.3
Auto6.5
Teleop35.5
End7.2
blue by 38.9
88.10.7
75.674.9
Auto8.9
Teleop36.6
End42.6
Second
6088
#13
46.90.7
40.840.1
Auto3.8
Teleop25.8
End17.2
blue by 6.3
5878
#26
53.11.2
55.053.8
Auto7.0
Teleop42.3
End3.8
Third
6112
#39
23.40.6
19.418.8
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End-2.4
red by 0.2
6079
#36
23.21.1
20.419.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed