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Red96
498838.6
611337.6
517550.2
Blue197
132288.1
894102.8
497090.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114241020030040096197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5175
#19
50.23.3
42.939.6
Auto4.4
Teleop29.8
End16.0
blue by 52.7
894
#4
102.81.0
86.085.1
Auto12.4
Teleop44.5
End45.9
Second
4988
#37
38.63.3
47.844.5
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End11.6
blue by 52.1
90.61.6
53.952.3
Auto11.8
Teleop33.1
End45.6
Third
6113
#23
37.63.3
34.931.6
Auto5.4
Teleop24.6
End7.6
blue by 50.4
88.11.0
71.570.5
Auto8.9
Teleop36.6
End42.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed