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Red311
607766.3
207589.6
675398.8
Blue205
570967.0
553383.7
553482.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266245100200300400500311205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.80.8
97.197.9
Auto8.8
Teleop36.2
End53.8
red by 15.1
83.70.7
84.483.7
Auto14.6
Teleop40.7
End28.4
Second
89.60.8
87.888.7
Auto7.5
Teleop29.9
End52.2
red by 7.1
5534
#19
82.50.7
83.282.5
Auto7.7
Teleop38.3
End36.5
Third
6077
#32
66.30.8
64.565.3
Auto5.7
Teleop36.0
End24.5
blue by 0.8
5709
#15
67.00.7
67.867.0
Auto10.7
Teleop37.6
End18.8