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Red70
655242.3
552549.9
361884.0
Blue175
550556.7
655050.6
570867.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14617605010020025030035070175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#16
84.08.1
71.163.0
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
red by 16.9
5708
#20
67.20.8
70.170.9
Auto8.6
Teleop32.8
End25.8
Second
5525
#35
49.98.1
37.829.7
Auto5.0
Teleop27.9
End17.0
blue by 6.8
5505
#29
56.71.3
64.665.9
Auto5.0
Teleop43.2
End8.5
Third
6552
#34
42.38.1
34.226.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End14.3
blue by 8.2
6550
#23
50.61.3
28.429.7
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed