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Red200
361884.0
608665.8
612186.5
Blue95
606675.3
655242.3
608775.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199157010030040050020095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#12
86.51.9
58.360.2
Auto10.9
Teleop37.2
End38.4
red by 11.1
6087
#13
75.56.7
43.336.6
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End35.4
Second
3618
#16
84.01.9
69.170.9
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
red by 8.7
6066
#26
75.34.0
72.268.1
Auto10.9
Teleop40.1
End24.3
Third
6086
#28
65.81.1
55.957.0
Auto7.0
Teleop38.9
End19.9
red by 23.4
6552
#34
42.339.7
72.933.2
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed