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Red145
655050.6
523078.7
664939.6
Blue95
654557.7
570967.0
608665.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15019405010025030035040014595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#14
78.70.3
72.772.4
Auto5.6
Teleop35.5
End37.7
red by 11.7
5709
#15
67.09.2
61.452.2
Auto10.7
Teleop37.6
End18.8
Second
6550
#23
50.60.3
34.534.2
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End13.4
blue by 15.2
6086
#28
65.85.5
61.055.5
Auto7.0
Teleop38.9
End19.9
Third
6649
#37
39.60.3
41.140.8
Auto4.8
Teleop23.7
End11.0
blue by 18.1
6545
#17
57.78.6
55.647.0
Auto9.1
Teleop29.0
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed