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Red215
608775.5
553482.5
570867.2
Blue185
608665.8
437664.1
498376.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242060100300400500215185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#19
82.50.4
78.678.9
Auto7.7
Teleop38.3
End36.5
red by 5.9
76.61.2
71.069.8
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End33.0
Second
6087
#13
75.50.4
68.568.9
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End35.4
red by 9.7
6086
#28
65.80.9
62.761.8
Auto7.0
Teleop38.9
End19.9
Third
5708
#20
67.20.3
63.663.9
Auto8.6
Teleop32.8
End25.8
red by 3.1
4376
#21
64.11.1
64.663.5
Auto8.8
Teleop30.8
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed