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Red251
609454.3
191895.4
3539111.1
Blue314
662758.7
2832107.3
3357110.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32729902004006008001,000251314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#14
111.10.0
111.1111.1
Auto11.0
Teleop53.2
End46.9
red by 0.9
110.20.0
110.2110.2
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
Second
95.40.0
95.495.4
Auto9.6
Teleop52.5
End33.2
blue by 12.0
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
Third
6094
#21
54.30.0
54.354.3
Auto6.6
Teleop32.1
End15.6
blue by 4.4
6627
#16
58.70.0
58.758.7
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End21.4