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Red266
5155115.1
516768.3
3875107.7
Blue305
4003125.0
598095.1
525695.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35537302006008001,000266305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#18
115.10.0
115.1115.1
Auto12.8
Teleop52.2
End50.1
blue by 10.0
125.00.0
125.0125.0
Auto16.0
Teleop56.9
End52.2
Second
3875
#20
107.70.0
107.7107.7
Auto12.8
Teleop49.8
End45.1
red by 12.7
95.10.0
95.195.1
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End48.6
Third
68.30.0
68.368.3
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End22.7
blue by 26.7
5256
#13
95.00.0
95.095.0
Auto10.2
Teleop49.1
End35.7