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Red255
4003125.0
516768.3
598095.1
Blue181
3539111.1
3620111.2
205498.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29734405001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000255181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.00.0
125.0125.0
Auto16.0
Teleop56.9
End52.2
red by 13.8
3620
#15
111.20.0
111.2111.2
Auto14.7
Teleop59.0
End37.5
Second
95.10.0
95.195.1
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End48.6
blue by 16.0
3539
#14
111.10.0
111.1111.1
Auto11.0
Teleop53.2
End46.9
Third
68.30.0
68.368.3
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End22.7
blue by 29.9
2054
#19
98.30.0
98.398.3
Auto13.9
Teleop43.4
End40.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor odds67%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds