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Red260
90487.1
5567113.5
3620111.2
Blue322
662758.7
2832107.3
3357110.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732920100200500600700800260322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.50.0
113.5113.5
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End53.2
red by 3.3
110.20.0
110.2110.2
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
Second
3620
#15
111.20.0
111.2111.2
Auto14.7
Teleop59.0
End37.5
red by 3.9
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
Third
904
#11
87.10.0
87.187.1
Auto13.3
Teleop36.2
End37.6
red by 28.4
6627
#16
58.70.0
58.758.7
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End21.4