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Red255
520479.8
546290.6
283494.3
Blue291
5675100.6
562367.6
91080.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284255100150200300350400450255291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.30.2
94.594.3
Auto11.1
Teleop40.1
End43.1
blue by 6.3
5675
#12
100.61.0
99.6100.6
Auto6.7
Teleop46.6
End47.2
Second
90.60.2
90.990.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.2
End41.8
red by 10.4
910
#28
80.31.0
79.280.3
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End40.2
Third
5204
#27
79.80.2
80.079.8
Auto9.1
Teleop38.3
End32.4
red by 12.2
5623
#11
67.61.0
66.667.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End25.0