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Red305
520479.8
546290.6
283494.3
Blue255
150498.4
438177.8
445357.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812450100200400500600700800305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.31.0
93.294.2
Auto11.1
Teleop40.1
End43.1
blue by 4.1
1504
#13
98.40.4
99.6100.0
Auto12.1
Teleop42.8
End43.4
Second
90.61.0
89.690.5
Auto12.7
Teleop36.2
End41.8
red by 12.9
77.80.4
79.079.4
Auto11.8
Teleop34.7
End31.3
Third
5204
#27
79.81.0
78.779.7
Auto9.1
Teleop38.3
End32.4
red by 22.1
4453
#21
57.70.4
59.059.3
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End17.4