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Red145
568556.2
658035.4
550192.5
Blue215
613868.9
167745.8
604383.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171170100120140160180200220240260145215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#16
92.50.9
79.979.0
Auto10.3
Teleop42.5
End39.7
red by 8.9
6043
#23
83.53.3
69.172.4
Auto10.2
Teleop35.0
End38.4
Second
5685
#36
56.20.9
39.638.7
Auto5.7
Teleop30.6
End20.0
blue by 12.7
6138
#29
68.93.3
48.051.3
Auto8.5
Teleop35.9
End24.4
Third
6580
#34
35.40.9
39.138.2
Auto5.6
Teleop30.8
End-1.0
blue by 10.4
1677
#35
45.85.6
47.753.3
Auto3.8
Teleop29.2
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed