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Red95
495651.9
91080.3
571071.1
Blue255
546290.6
445357.7
5675100.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18422810030040095255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#28
80.39.6
67.557.9
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End40.2
blue by 20.3
5675
#12
100.64.9
90.395.3
Auto6.7
Teleop46.6
End47.2
Second
71.15.7
60.354.6
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End26.4
blue by 19.5
90.63.0
81.884.8
Auto12.7
Teleop36.2
End41.8
Third
4956
#33DQ
51.99.6
53.343.7
Auto5.6
Teleop28.0
End18.3
blue by 5.8
4453
#21
57.73.0
38.441.3
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed