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Red300
118980.5
551788.8
353698.9
Blue255
6101100.1
150287.8
477693.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281301100200400500300255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#19
98.90.6
99.399.9
Auto8.0
Teleop42.1
End48.7
blue by 1.3
6101
#28
100.10.6
100.7100.0
Auto8.7
Teleop46.6
End44.9
Second
88.80.6
89.389.9
Auto5.2
Teleop40.3
End43.4
blue by 4.7
4776
#16
93.50.6
94.193.4
Auto5.3
Teleop36.6
End51.6
Third
1189
#31
80.50.6
80.981.5
Auto12.1
Teleop40.4
End28.0
blue by 7.3
87.80.6
88.487.7
Auto16.0
Teleop38.5
End33.4