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Red467
553097.2
436290.6
27105.6
Blue285
177.1
364182.7
370789.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305253100200400500467285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#24
105.61.9
102.0103.8
Auto15.2
Teleop53.1
End37.3
red by 15.8
3707
#26
89.80.8
88.989.8
Auto7.8
Teleop31.8
End50.1
Second
5530
#25
97.21.9
93.595.4
Auto14.6
Teleop36.8
End45.8
red by 14.5
82.70.8
81.882.7
Auto8.4
Teleop39.4
End34.8
Third
90.61.9
87.088.9
Auto13.0
Teleop39.5
End38.2
red by 13.5
1
#36
77.10.8
76.377.1
Auto10.9
Teleop45.7
End20.5