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Red165
569579.8
608174.5
570444.0
Blue205
553850.1
83097.6
356866.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1752030100300400500165205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#17
79.80.6
50.650.0
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End37.2
blue by 17.8
830
#12
97.61.0
90.691.7
Auto13.8
Teleop47.6
End36.2
Second
6081
#35
74.50.4
79.579.1
Auto8.0
Teleop35.7
End30.7
red by 7.9
3568
#23
66.61.0
44.345.3
Auto8.7
Teleop32.1
End25.8
Third
5704
#39
44.00.4
40.339.9
Auto7.0
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 6.0
5538
#30
50.11.7
54.656.3
Auto11.4
Teleop26.0
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed