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Red230
364182.7
523574.5
83097.6
Blue252
150287.8
214594.7
20179.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2152490100300400500230252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#12
97.61.4
89.791.2
Auto13.8
Teleop47.6
End36.2
red by 2.9
2145
#11
94.71.4
80.181.5
Auto8.4
Teleop38.8
End47.6
Second
82.71.4
49.751.1
Auto8.4
Teleop39.4
End34.8
blue by 5.1
87.81.4
81.683.0
Auto16.0
Teleop38.5
End33.4
Third
74.51.4
69.470.8
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End33.2
blue by 4.7
201
#22
79.31.4
69.971.3
Auto6.7
Teleop36.0
End36.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed