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Red255
83097.6
568877.3
20179.3
Blue195
261282.4
659187.8
150287.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1972620100300400500600700800255195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#12
97.63.9
85.689.5
Auto13.8
Teleop47.6
End36.2
red by 9.8
87.83.0
74.171.1
Auto16.0
Teleop38.5
End33.4
Second
201
#22
79.33.9
67.371.2
Auto6.7
Teleop36.0
End36.5
blue by 8.6
6591
#27
87.83.0
78.575.5
Auto8.3
Teleop31.9
End47.5
Third
5688
#14
77.33.9
43.347.2
Auto10.1
Teleop35.8
End31.4
blue by 5.1
2612
#20
82.43.3
87.283.9
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End37.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed