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Red255
302112.2
353698.9
27105.6
Blue305
553097.2
261282.4
470110.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314287100200400500255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
112.22.6
112.9110.3
Auto12.6
Teleop50.1
End49.5
red by 2.0
470
#10
110.21.9
104.9106.8
Auto11.7
Teleop46.1
End52.4
Second
27
#24
105.62.6
97.995.3
Auto15.2
Teleop53.1
End37.3
red by 8.4
5530
#25
97.21.9
84.886.7
Auto14.6
Teleop36.8
End45.8
Third
3536
#19
98.92.6
83.981.2
Auto8.0
Teleop42.1
End48.7
red by 16.4
2612
#20
82.41.9
86.588.4
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End37.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed