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Red185
6101100.1
570444.0
118980.5
Blue215
341479.0
150287.8
569767.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246197100300400185215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6101
#28
100.12.8
110.3107.5
Auto8.7
Teleop46.6
End44.9
red by 12.3
87.81.4
83.084.4
Auto16.0
Teleop38.5
End33.4
Second
1189
#31
80.52.8
72.069.3
Auto12.1
Teleop40.4
End28.0
red by 1.5
3414
#32
79.02.4
53.255.6
Auto5.4
Teleop32.4
End41.2
Third
5704
#39
44.02.8
44.641.8
Auto7.0
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 23.5
5697
#33
67.61.4
57.458.8
Auto7.1
Teleop29.4
End31.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed