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Red310
341479.0
568877.3
569579.8
Blue309
364182.7
550289.8
214594.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1802440100300400500600310309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#17
79.810.9
59.670.5
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End37.2
blue by 14.9
2145
#11
94.75.7
81.787.4
Auto8.4
Teleop38.8
End47.6
Second
3414
#32
79.011.7
61.172.8
Auto5.4
Teleop32.4
End41.2
blue by 10.8
5502
#29
89.85.7
79.385.1
Auto9.0
Teleop42.5
End38.3
Third
5688
#14
77.37.0
58.965.9
Auto10.1
Teleop35.8
End31.4
blue by 5.4
82.75.7
62.368.0
Auto8.4
Teleop39.4
End34.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed