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Red185
341479.0
370789.8
477693.5
Blue215
553850.1
302112.2
499857.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198196150250185215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#16
93.50.1
52.552.3
Auto5.3
Teleop36.6
End51.6
blue by 18.7
302
#1
112.21.8
102.3104.1
Auto12.6
Teleop50.1
End49.5
Second
3707
#26
89.80.1
78.077.9
Auto7.8
Teleop31.8
End50.1
red by 32.1
4998
#15
57.71.8
43.245.0
Auto6.6
Teleop28.3
End22.8
Third
3414
#32
79.00.1
55.855.6
Auto5.4
Teleop32.4
End41.2
red by 28.9
5538
#30
50.13.0
42.545.5
Auto11.4
Teleop26.0
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed