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Red280
438482.3
484041.4
470110.2
Blue315
523574.5
150287.8
27105.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238278100200300400500280315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
#10
110.21.6
116.4117.9
Auto11.7
Teleop46.1
End52.4
red by 4.6
27
#24
105.63.8
97.9101.6
Auto15.2
Teleop53.1
End37.3
Second
4384
#13
82.31.6
75.276.7
Auto11.8
Teleop33.0
End37.5
blue by 5.5
87.83.8
81.685.4
Auto16.0
Teleop38.5
End33.4
Third
4840
#34
41.41.6
40.141.7
Auto10.4
Teleop24.5
End6.5
blue by 33.1
74.53.8
79.182.9
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End33.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed