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Red190
470110.2
356866.6
569767.6
Blue215
553850.1
568877.3
436290.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259199100300400190215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
#10
110.23.2
117.9114.7
Auto11.7
Teleop46.1
End52.4
red by 19.6
90.61.2
81.883.0
Auto13.0
Teleop39.5
End38.2
Second
5697
#33
67.63.2
66.162.9
Auto7.1
Teleop29.4
End31.1
blue by 9.8
5688
#14
77.31.2
65.967.1
Auto10.1
Teleop35.8
End31.4
Third
3568
#23
66.63.2
53.950.7
Auto8.7
Teleop32.1
End25.8
red by 16.5
5538
#30
50.11.7
49.451.1
Auto11.4
Teleop26.0
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed