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Red145
20179.3
570444.0
523574.5
Blue245
499857.7
477693.5
552362.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191770100300400145245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#22
79.33.9
84.480.6
Auto6.7
Teleop36.0
End36.5
blue by 14.3
4776
#16
93.56.8
74.080.8
Auto5.3
Teleop36.6
End51.6
Second
74.53.9
82.979.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End33.2
red by 12.5
62.17.4
49.757.1
Auto6.8
Teleop24.8
End30.4
Third
5704
#39
44.03.9
35.531.6
Auto7.0
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 13.7
4998
#15
57.74.7
50.355.0
Auto6.6
Teleop28.3
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed