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Red255
499857.7
470110.2
570444.0
Blue265
438482.3
552362.1
553097.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2062460100300400255265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
#10
110.23.6
107.1110.6
Auto11.7
Teleop46.1
End52.4
red by 13.1
5530
#25
97.22.4
89.391.7
Auto14.6
Teleop36.8
End45.8
Second
4998
#15
57.73.6
53.857.4
Auto6.6
Teleop28.3
End22.8
blue by 24.6
4384
#13
82.32.4
80.783.1
Auto11.8
Teleop33.0
End37.5
Third
5704
#39
44.03.6
40.544.0
Auto7.0
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 18.0
62.12.9
58.961.8
Auto6.8
Teleop24.8
End30.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed